- Cointime

ETH breaks $2,000

market shows ETH breaking through $2000, currently at $2000.29, with a 24-hour increase of 3.73%. The market is volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

Bitwise analysis shows that the probability of loss significantly decreases when holding Bitcoin for more than three years.

data from Bitwise's analysis shows that holding Bitcoin for at least three years between July 17, 2010, and February 11, 2026, can reduce the probability of loss to 0.70%. The longer the holding period, the further the risk of loss decreases, with five years at 0.2% and ten years at 0%. In contrast, investors holding for less than three years face higher loss risks, such as day traders whose probability of loss reaches 47.1%.

Although Bitcoin has fallen about 50% from its peak in October 2025, currently trading at around $65,000, it is still higher than its 3 to 5-year realized price of $34,780, with investors who bought and held during this period earning about 90%. Most traders who bought in the past two years are at a loss, with a cost basis of about $101,250 for those holding 6 to 12 months, floating a loss of about 35%; and a cost basis of about $78,150 for those holding 1 to 2 years, floating a loss of about 15%.

In the past 24 hours, CEX saw a net outflow of 6,501.29 BTC.

according to Coinglass data, a total net outflow of 6,501.29 BTC from CEXs in the past 24 hours. The top three CEXs by outflow volume are as follows:

·Binance outflow of 4,456.68 BTC;

·Bitfinex outflow of 2,731.10 BTC;

·Bybit outflow of 528.13 BTC.

In addition, OKX had an inflow of 2,469.57 BTC, ranking first on the inflow list.

The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has been in negative territory for 33 consecutive days, marking its longest losing streak since May 2023.

according to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been in negative premium for 33 consecutive days, currently at -0.0477%, marking the longest "continuous negative" record since May 2023, surpassing the approximately 30 consecutive negative premium days during the "1011 crash" period.

The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index measures the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a major US trading platform) and the global market average price. A negative premium usually reflects higher selling pressure in the US market, decreased investor risk appetite, increased market risk aversion sentiment, or capital outflows.