Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

What Is Fibonacci Retracement? How to Use It in Crypto Trading

One of the most critical steps of applying technical analysis to crypto trading is that you want to test the waters and see multiple confirmations for an entry point before you actually enter the market.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels is a technical analysis tool used in financial markets to forecast a level that the price is expected to react to at some point in the future. It is a mathematical formula that is applied to the price of a crypto asset to gain insight into the market and yield accurate market entry signals. This article will explain how it works, and how it can be applied to the crypto market.

What Is Fibonacci Retracement?

In simple terms, Fibonacci retracement is a mathematical formula that is applied to the price of an asset to produce future price levels that the market is expected to react to. This anticipated reaction is for prices to stop their current trend direction and reverse.

Fibonacci retracements come from the famous Italian mathematician Leonardo de Pisa Fibonacci who lived in the early thirteenth century. The name sounds confusing enough, let alone the mathematics behind the retracements. Thanks to the key figures that we can rely upon to give us the levels that we are attempting to find. Fibonacci retracements are a means of intending predictions for future support and resistance levels in the trading arena.

Traders and automated systems use the Fibonacci levels to predict entry and exit levels for currency trading, commodities, stocks, and practically all financial markets. In modern times, this has been related closely to the principle of the Elliott Wave, Tyrone levels, and Gartley patterns. The original pattern on which retracements are built is as follows: One plus one is two. One plus two is three. Two plus three is five. Three plus five is eight. Five plus eight is thirteen. Eight plus thirteen is twenty-one, and so on.

Calculating The Points

In order to chart the exact points where the security will likely change direction, a certain calculation should be made. When the trader draws a trend line from one extreme point to the other, the vertical distance is then divided by the main ratios derived from the Fibonacci numbers. These are as follows:

  • 23.6%
  • 38.2%
  • 50.0%
  • 61.8%
  • 100.0%

How does Fibonacci Retracement Work

In order to understand Fibonacci retracement levels, you should know something about the Fibonacci sequence. The Fibonacci sequence is derived by adding the two preceding numbers to find the next number. The first two numbers are 0 1; after that, you can add the two preceding numbers to find the next number. So, the third number will be 1, the fourth: 2, the fifth: 3, the sixth: 5, and so on. The sequence develops like this: 0,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144,233,377,610,987,………..out to infinity.

An essential ratio is obtained by dividing the higher number by the lower one preceding it in the above sequence. Divide 233 by 144; you get 1.618. This ratio is known as the golden mean and is very important. The inverse of this ratio is 0.618. Another important ratio is obtained by dividing any number in the sequence by two numbers higher. So divide 144 by 377, and you obtain 0.381.

Traders use these two numbers in addition to 0.0.5 and 1 as Fibonacci retracement levels. So the Fibonacci retracement levels will be 0, 38.1%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%. Traders think that price action will tend to find support at these levels. It is another question whether it does or not. Most traders use the number 38.2% as an entry point in the trending market.

Using the Fibonacci Retracement to Trade Crypto

The Fibonacci retracement tool can be used to trade the crypto market effectively and can be applied with the following steps.

  • Spot a completed trend. It can be used for both uptrends and downtrends.
  • Draw the Fibonacci retracement patterns in the movement of the completed trend. For an uptrend, draw the retracement from left to right in an upward direction. And draw the lines from left to right for a completed downtrend.
  • Delay for the price to reverse near the four key levels and concentrate on the key levels for a possible price reversal.
  • Enter the trade in the direction of the actual trend. Usually, an uptrend retracement means prices will correct lower. Then, then you can identify one of the four key Fibonacci retracement levels.

Wrapping Up

Fibonacci retracements are resource technical tools that help traders to spot the best market entry points as well as identify support and resistance levels. However, it is important to always combine two or more indicators when trident the market to gain more accurate assessments of trends and make better-informed trading decisions.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Saudi Arabia Depletes 86% of Patriot Missile Stockpile

    According to British media reports, within the first 38 days after the outbreak of the war, Saudi Arabia launched approximately 2,400 PAC-3 (Patriot-3) interceptor missiles, accounting for about 86% of the country's total stockpile of 2,800 missiles. By April of last year, Saudi Arabia had only about 400 interceptor missiles remaining. Other Gulf Arab states also consumed missile reserves on a similar scale, highlighting the military crisis facing the region. (Jin Shi)

  • Experts: The Strait of Hormuz 'Will Never' Return to Pre-War Status

    Ali Akbar Dareini, a researcher at the Iranian Strategic Studies Center, stated that Iran and Oman are about to reach an agreement on the future management of the Strait of Hormuz, with the main obstacle being U.S. pressure on Oman to adopt a position more aligned with Washington. Dareini emphasized that Iran considers future control of the strait crucial for its national security. In recent months, the U.S. has conducted strikes against Iran, which Iran claims were launched from bases in the region. Dareini noted that the ongoing negotiations between Iran and Oman present the U.S. with a 'good opportunity to extricate itself from this quagmire' by recognizing Iran and Oman as the countries that will determine the 'future' of the Strait of Hormuz. 'However, the Strait of Hormuz will never return to its pre-war status,' he continued. 'The geopolitical landscape of the region has changed.'

  • Iran: Negotiations with Oman Unrelated to Reopening of Strait of Hormuz

    On August 8, a spokesperson for the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran stated that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is unrelated to negotiations between Iran and Oman, but rather depends on whether the United States fully accepts Iran's conditions and ceases interference in regional negotiations. "Once the United States accepts Iran's conditions, the Strait will undoubtedly reopen." (CCTV News)

  • Whale Shorting $102 Million in Bitcoin Faces Partial Liquidation, Remaining Liquidation Price Around $65,300

    On August 8, TheDataNerd reported that a whale using 40x leverage to short $102 million in Bitcoin recently faced partial liquidation, incurring a loss of $1.46 million over the past week. Currently, the margin call has reduced the short position to approximately $60 million, with an opening price of $64,212.5 and a liquidation price of $65,310.2.

  • BTC Falls Below $65,000

    Market data shows BTC has fallen below $65,000, currently reported at $64,999.23, with a 24-hour increase of 1.01%. Market volatility is high, please exercise risk control.

  • Hedge Fund AISituational Awareness's Mysterious $400 Million Investment Targets Chip Startup Source Foundry

    On August 8, sources revealed that the hedge fund Situational Awareness, managed by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, made a mysterious $400 million investment in the chip manufacturing startup Source Foundry just days after facing imminent collapse. Previously, Bloomberg reported that the hedge fund invested in a private company backed by Sequoia Capital, but did not disclose the name of the specific company. The Wall Street Journal had earlier reported that the recipient of the investment was Source Foundry, unveiling the target of this mysterious funding deployment by Situational Awareness.

  • US Spot Bitcoin ETF Sees $101.79M Net Inflow Yesterday

    On August 8, according to Trader T's monitoring, US spot bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $101.79 million yesterday.

  • US Official: Ukraine Agrees to Avoid Strikes on Non-Russian Tankers and Black Sea Oil Facilities

    On August 8, according to a US official, Ukraine has agreed not to target certain non-Russian tankers and Black Sea infrastructure vital to Kazakhstan's crude oil exports. This follows ship attacks last month that caused loading disruptions. The US official said Ukraine has set up contact points so commercial shipping companies can communicate information and ensure safe passage. The commitment was reached after meetings between senior US government leaders and Ukrainian leadership, marking a potentially significant step toward increasing regional oil shipments. Previously, activity in the region had cooled significantly due to several recent attacks near the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal in Russia's Novorossiysk. (Jin Shi)

  • U.S. July Nonfarm Payrolls Fall by 23,000, Missing Market Expectations

    On August 7, U.S. nonfarm payrolls decreased by 23,000 in July, compared with market expectations of an increase of 80,000, and the previous value was an increase of 57,000.

  • US May and June Nonfarm Payroll Additions Revised Down by 103,000 Combined

    On August 7, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics: May nonfarm payroll additions were revised down from 129,000 to 63,000; June nonfarm payroll additions were revised down from 57,000 to 20,000. After the revisions, the combined additions for May and June were 103,000 lower than previously reported.