Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Buoyant Price Action Has Bitcoin Options Traders Eyeing $30,000

Bitcoin options traders have overwhelmingly re-revised their expectations to $30,000 by the end of March, according to Glassnode data analyzed by CryptoSlate.

Recent price action took a decidedly bullish tone during the second week of the new year.

Since Jan. 8, BTC recorded seven consecutive green daily closes, which took it 25% higher and recaptured $20,000 for the first time since the FTX collapse roughly nine weeks ago.

With that, sentiment among options traders has become more bullish.

Bitcoin sentiment flips further bullish among options traders

Previous research highlighted bullishness among Bitcoin and Ethereum options traders, as denoted by the prevalence of Open Interest calls, over puts, in both instances.

Calls and puts refer to the buying and selling, respectively, of options. These derivative products give holders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at some future point for a predetermined price.

The spread of calls and puts at varying predetermined (or strike) prices indicate general market sentiment.

At that time, for Bitcoin, the range between $15,000 and $20,000 was favored due to the relatively even spread of calls and puts within this spread.

However, due to recent buoyant price action, Bitcoin options traders have flipped even more bullish.

Strike price calls at $30,000

The chart below provides updated Bitcoin Open Interest data following recent price moves. Again, calls far exceed puts, with the $16,000 to $18,000 range favored this time.

Nonetheless, revised Open Interest data showed the most activity for calls at $30,000 and by a significant margin, followed by calls for $21,000 by the quarter’s end. The most significant puts interest was at the $15,000 strike price.

While macro uncertainty remains, the dominance of calls in Bitcoin Options Open Interest suggests a degree of detachment from broader uncertainties, at least in the short term.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Stablecoins on the Ethereum network hit a record high of $176 billion

    according to a chart released by @CryptoGucci, the stablecoin market on the Ethereum network has just hit a historical high of $176 billion.

  • BTC falls below $116,000

    the market shows BTC falling below $116,000, now trading at $115,986.8, with a 24-hour increase of 0.57%. The market fluctuates greatly, please do risk control.

  • ETH breaks through $4,500

     market shows ETH breaking through $4500, now trading at $4500.31, with a 24-hour increase of 0.01%. The market is fluctuating significantly, so please manage your risks.

  • Citigroup reviews historical patterns before and after the first rate cut in a cycle: US stocks and bonds both rise, gold strengthens first and then flattens

     according to Citigroup research, historical data shows that both US stocks and bonds have positive returns around the first interest rate cut. The median increase in stocks in the 50 days after the rate cut is around 5%, but there is downside risk in a hard landing scenario. Bonds also benefit from expectations and actual rate cuts, with yields typically reaching a low point around the first rate cut. The performance of the US dollar index shows a "weak first, then flat" pattern, usually weakening before a rate cut, but entering a range-bound pattern after the cut. Precious metals like gold also rise before the implementation of loose policies, but tend to perform flat after an actual rate cut, showing more of a range trading pattern. Citigroup analysts stated that these historical patterns were largely confirmed in 2024, but bond prices peaked around the first rate cut. At that time, the market priced in the rate cut aggressively, while the current cycle has a relatively mild pricing, easing concerns about the outlook for bonds. 

  • The U.S. Congress is advancing the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act, which aims to purchase 1 million Bitcoins within 5 years.

    according to Crypto in America, the U.S. Congress held a meeting on September 17 to promote legislation on strategic reserves for Bitcoin. Many Republican lawmakers, including Senators Ted Cruz and Marsha Blackburn, as well as industry representatives such as MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor, attended the meeting.

  • Bullish obtains BitLicense from New York State Department of Financial Services

     Bullish has obtained the BitLicense issued by the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS), which is an important regulatory approval that will allow the institution's digital asset platform to provide spot trading and custody services to New York customers. (CoinDesk)

  • Standard Chartered Bank, Qatar National Bank, and DMZ Finance Launch Tokenized Money Market Fund

     Qatar National Bank Group (QNB Group), Standard Chartered Bank, and DMZ Finance announced the launch of a regulated tokenized currency market fund QCD Money Market Fund at the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC). The fund is initiated and managed by the largest bank in the Middle East and Africa, Qatar National Bank Group (QNB Group), with DMZ Finance serving as the co-initiator and exclusive provider of tokenized infrastructure.

  • The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting this week

    according to Nikkei News: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting.

  • A wholly-owned subsidiary of Yunfeng Financial Group has completed the RWA tokenization of FOF fund investment shares

    Yunfeng Financial Group, indirectly owned by Jack Ma, announced that its blockchain technology team successfully tokenized the physical assets of the FOF (Fund of Funds) shares invested by its wholly-owned subsidiary (Real-World Asset Tokenization, RWA), and issued the first RWA project independently completed by Yunfeng Financial, further promoting the deep integration of traditional finance and blockchain technology. It is reported that the FOF fund invested by the wholly-owned subsidiary of Yunfeng Financial Group mainly focuses on alternative assets (directly or indirectly investing in credit and real estate-related debt securities markets), and issues part of the investment shares of the fund in token form to enhance transparency.