On April 20, according to CME's 'FedWatch': the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 0%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 100%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively lowering rates by 25 basis points by June is 2.5%, with a 97.5% chance of keeping rates unchanged.
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Probability of Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in April is 100%
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Trump Claims Iran Will Negotiate
On April 21, during a phone interview with CNN, U.S. President Trump stated that Iran "will negotiate" and expressed confidence in potential talks set to take place in Pakistan. Trump remarked, "They will negotiate; if they don't, they will face unprecedented problems." He also expressed hope that both sides could reach a "fair agreement" and emphasized that Iran "will not have nuclear weapons." Additionally, he defended military actions against Iran by stating there was "no choice" and claimed that they would ultimately "wrap things up." -
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On April 21, Amazon announced on Monday that it will invest an additional $5 billion in the artificial intelligence company Anthropic, bringing the total investment to as much as $20 billion. Anthropic develops the Claude chatbot and programming tools, and plans to invest over $100 billion in Amazon's cloud technology and chips over the next decade. -
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On April 21, according to CCTV, the U.S. military is expected to deploy three carrier strike groups simultaneously in the Middle East in the coming days. Currently, the USS Lincoln strike group is stationed in the Gulf of Oman, near the Strait of Hormuz, participating in maritime blockade operations; the USS Ford strike group is located in the northern Red Sea; and the USS Bush strike group, which is taking a route around Africa, is heading north from the southeast of Africa and is expected to enter the Arabian Sea—this carrier may replace the USS Ford in its mission. In the short term, the U.S. military may have three aircraft carriers in the Middle East. -
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On April 20, according to PBS, U.S. President Trump stated on Monday that if the ceasefire agreement with Iran expires on Tuesday, there will be a large number of bombs exploding. Trump made this remark during a call with White House reporter Liz Landers, focusing on the issue of the Iran war, while a U.S. delegation was preparing for further peace negotiations. When asked whether Iran would still participate in the talks scheduled to take place in Islamabad, Trump replied, "I don't know. I mean, they should show up. It's arranged. We'll see if they come. If they don't, that's fine too." When asked about his expectations for the negotiations, Trump stated, "Very simple, Iran absolutely cannot have nuclear weapons." -
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BitMine Increases ETH Holdings by Over 100,000, Total Holdings Exceed 4.97 Million ETH
As of April 19, Eastern Time, BitMine's total cryptocurrency and cash holdings, including the 'Moon Landing Plan,' amount to $12.9 billion. BitMine holds 4,976,485 ETH (an increase of 101,627 ETH from last week), which represents 4.12% of the total Ethereum supply of 120.7 million ETH. Additionally, it holds 199 BTC, shares in Beast Industries worth $200 million, $107 million in Eightco Holdings (NASDAQ: ORBS), and $1.12 billion in unsecured cash. As of April 20, 2026, the total amount of staked ETH by BitMine is 3,334,637 ETH, valued at $7.7 billion based on a price of $2,301 per ETH. -
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